You won’t hear this phrase on this blog very often: the information in this article blew my mind. Andrew Follett wrote an article published at the Daily Caller that describes five facts about fracking that haven’t gotten much traction in the news. Most of them are extremely interesting. The point about Russia’s economy shrinking because we no longer rely on their oil could have both good and bad long-term effects. Click on over and read. It’ll make you think.
Pipeline Negotiation Stories
Ford Turner at the Reading Eagle, a Pennsylvania newspaper, put together a pretty nice article which illustrates how different attitudes can bring different results in negotiating with a pipeline company. In writing the story, he interviewed a number of people from his community about their experiences with putting together a deal with the pipeline. Each person had a different experience.
If you have been approached by someone who represents the Atlantic Coast Pipeline or the Mountain Valley Pipeline, you should definitely take a few minutes to read the article.
Oil Prices Will Not Recover Soon
In this article in the Wall Street Journal, you can see that the price of oil is not going to jump up any time soon. Any industry that relies on high oil prices to get by is going to have a bad couple of years. Luckily there aren’t very many industries that rely on high oil prices. There are quite a few more industries which do significantly better when oil prices are low. Also, American consumers benefit greatly when oil prices are low. It seems that America and maybe the world in general is going to have a pretty hot economy in the next couple of years, just because energy is going to be so affordable. While this firm may suffer some in the short term, we expect to benefit from an improved economy. Here’s to shale development and the Saudi war on shale!
Data on the Marcellus and Utica
This article from eaglefordtexas.com has some interesting information on the Utica and Marcellus shales. It’s short and data-dense, so it’s not worth trying to summarize here. Read it.
Forced Pooling Legislation is Back on the Menu
The West Virginia Legislature will consider passing forced pooling legislation during the 2016 session. This will be the sixth time that they’ve considered it. The legislation has been defeated five times in five years. Each defeat has led to improvements in the legislation. This year, backers of the legislation say that it has only changed slightly from last year’s version. They think that the legislation from last year was pretty good and are willing to push it as is.
Opponents to forced pooling oppose it on principle. They say that it’s not right to force a property owner to do any particular thing with their property unless they want to. We agree. We’re not fans of eminent domain either, for the same reason. If the government or a company or a private citizen or a group of private citizens wants to use someone’s property, they should either work out an agreement for that property with the owner or find another piece of property to use. We know there are counter-arguments, but we don’t think they trump the right of a property owner to control their property.
Looking forward to a fun legislative session.
Saudis Already Cutting Back on Spending
Karma is coming back to bite the Saudis in the butt. The Saudis are cutting back their budget in 2016. Their budget deficit is being reduced, but at the expense of spending, not because their income is increasing. The reduction in spending is going to make the lower classes unhappy, and give the political opposition to the Saudi royal family something to work with. Things won’t come to a head in 2016, because there just won’t be enough unrest in Saudi Arabia, but if things keep going this way it will come to a head eventually. It’s going to be an interesting show to watch.
A New Cracker Plant! …..In Louisiana.
Axiall Corporation is building a cracker plant in Louisiana. It’s expected to open for business in 2019, so sometime between three and four years from now. That is, of course, if there are no construction delays or Hurricane Katrinas or any other such thing. This is great news! The cracker plant will process natural gas from the Marcellus/Utica plays
While we would prefer to see the cracker plant in Parkersburg, WV get built (and we now wonder why it’s not, seeing as how one can get funded and built over a thousand miles away from the Marcellus/Utica Play) we are excited that there will be a destination for ethane gas.
Of course, we badly need some pipelines heading out of this area. Gas is trading a $0.59/MCF at Dominion South today. That’s $1.30 less than the Henry Hub.
Shale Gas is Great for the Economy
We’ve mentioned before that the abundance of shale gas is good for industry, as natural gas is a major source of energy for industry. We went looking for an article that shows just how good shale gas is for industry, and found several that are right on point.
Sterling Burnett, writing for the Heartland, explains how chemical plant construction is coming back to the U.S. because of cheap natural gas. Steve Goldstein over at MarketWatch says that the plastics industry alone will directly generate 127,500 new jobs in the next decade. Matthew V. Veazey over at RigZone describes the kinds of jobs that will be available at LNG facilities when they are built, of which five are likely. The jobs at the facilities are not the only benefits, as shipping LNG worldwide will increase royalties and jobs in the “oil patch”.
Giles Parkinson over at CleanTechnica says that electricity rates for consumers are not going down, but they’re also not going up as much as they otherwise would. And of course, those who use natural gas to heat their homes will see direct benefits from the low cost.
Eight or Nine Cracker Plants?
It’s a big news day for West Virginia oil and gas.
Joe Eddy, President and CEO of Eagle Manufacturing out of Wellsburg, WV says that the Marcellus/Utica region could support eight or nine cracker plants right now. Come again? Why is it, then that there are only three planned, and one of those is awfully tentative?
We’d love to see a bunch of cracker plants. There’s an awful lot of gas in the ground that could be processed in cracker plants. Having that much more petrochemical feedstock would drive prices down for industry, and those savings would be passed on to consumers. It would be yet another way the fracking boom would improve our economy. We just kind of wonder how eight or nine could be possible when one of three is having a hard time getting off the ground.
Tentative Lease with Gastar on State Lands Falls Through
Gastar Exploration entered a bid with the State of West Virginia about a year ago, and in January 2015 they were notified that they had won the bid at $3,500/acre and 20% royalty. The 20% was because that was the lowest royalty the State would entertain. We appreciate the State’s efforts to bump up royalty amounts ’round these parts, but it doesn’t seem to have worked in this case.
The bid had been won, but there were still details to iron out, and Gastar and the State never got those details worked out. In the meantime, Gastar decided to sell its Marcellus and Utica acreage and focus on other areas of the United States. While that doesn’t seem like a very smart move considering the low cost of doing business in the Marcellus/Utica play, that’s what they did.
The State has decided that the bid with Gastar is no longer going to go through, and they are very likely to rescind it.
That leaves a bunch of acreage up for bid. It’s nice acreage, contiguous with one owner. Somebody’s going to jump on it, most likely Antero. It won’t go for nearly as much this time, though. It would be nice to see the State wait a couple years on it, as prices should improve in that time period.