PDC Energy is going to start drilling again in the first quarter of 2016.  Reading the article, it seems like the wells they have planned are mainly testing out new techniques, but they fully expect the wells to return more than their investment.  Part of that seems to be because they have hedged well, with oil hedged at $85/bbl and gas at $3.65/MCF.

Overall, we don’t see this as a sign that drilling is going to ramp up in 2016.  There will still be some leasing going on — there are always leases being taken.  We think it will be 2017 before we see anything start to really take off, and maybe even 2018.  It’s going to be lean times for anyone in the oil and gas industry.  However, those who are competent and hard-working will have something to do.

And there we go again, making predictions.  It’s so hard to not speculate about the direction of oil and gas.  Well, we’ll see whether these predictions are accurate or not in a year or so.